The year of Lok Sabha elections: Will BJP rise and shine once again

The  State Assembly elections in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Mizoram, and Telangana were the last set of elections before the 2019 Lok Sabha polls, and the intriguing results of the same indicate that it is time for BJP to both introspect and level up their game.

With PM Modi being the fading light of dusk, several decisions taken by him have hit BJP hard – the obscure demonetization, the vaguely executed Goods and Services Tax (GST). These economic reforms are proclaimed to have caused more loss than gain. The mass-employment-generating informal sector has received the hardest blows. Lately, the RBI too warned that the soaring acquiescence cost of GST had hit the MSME sector hard, crashing exports badly.

To make matter worse, BJP is swiftly losing the ace of “if-not-Modi-then-who” card making it extremely dependent on allies; a subject in which BJP holds a terrible record. According to a survey by India Today Mood of the Nation (MOTN) poll, 46 percent of the respondents believe Rahul Gandhi is the best alternative to Modi in 2019 elections, followed by TMC president Mamata Banerjee, who acquired eight percent of the vote.

Recently, Delhi has been witnessing a whirlpool of political activities as top leaders of more than a dozen political parties are rallying to fashion an anti-BJP alliance for the upcoming Lok Sabha elections. Additionally, heavy turmoils have been reported within the seniors of BJP.

After the crushing knockout in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh a few BJP leaders have raised their voice against Prime Minister Narendra Modi. A prominent Maharashtra farmer leader on Tuesday demanded that PM Modi be replaced with Union Minister Nitin Gadkari for BJP to win the 2019 general elections. The news has been reasonably poor from leaders in Maharashtra, Punjab, and Bihar too. It is clear that the anti-Modi wave has picked up momentum within BJP itself. 

A reputed News channel predicted that the BJP will win only 87 seats while Congress will get around 30 from the 147 in North India. After combining allies, the total count for NDA can touch 91. In the Southern half, BJP earned 22 seats whereas Congress got 19 in 2014. BJP’s tally is expected to go down to 20 while Congress might surge to 26 seats. Including probable NDA allies like YRS Congress, TRS, and AIADMK, NDA’s count goes up to 67. Dividing the 137 seats in East, BJP got 45 seats and Congress 14, but the numbers are anticipated to turn to 40 and 22 sequentially. Including allies like JD(U) and LJP, NDA is expected to get 54 seats. Finally wrapping the West, the number is to go down for BJP to 65 and up to 18 for Congress. The NDA, which comprises of Shiv Sena and MGP, could manage 81 seats.

With the excitement turning up around the “Rahul Gandhi vs. Narendra Modi” battle, bets are being placed around Congress’s comeback strategy and BJP’s defensive plans. With only a few months to go, the battle is going to get a lot more intense.

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